AFA-IN: Free Event, Marriage Rates & Voter Guide

 
Join AFA-IN for a Free Video Event from Wallbuilders
 
         Our free presentation from historian Tim Barton, son of author and historian David Barton, can be seen on October 6th at 7 pm Eastern time.  Tim recorded a promotional video for us that you can watch now at www.afain.net/barton      This is the same link you can go to watch our event next week.  You can also learn more about us and support the work of AFA-IN at www.afain.net/barton
 
         
 
 
 

A Major Problem that Explains a lot in Society
 
         In the last two weeks I have met with two legislators who separately made the same observation as we discussed various cultural  problems and issues of the day.  They both said this all goes back to the breakdown of the traditional family.  
         
         Well, a new study finds that the lack of marriage is a growing social problem in America.   While on the up-side, marriages tend to be more stable with divorce rates declining somewhat, at the same time fewer Americans are choosing to marry.  In 2018 a record rate of Americans ages 25 to 50, a group making up 39 million people, have never been married.  That record rate of never marrieds is now up to 35%.   In 1970 only 9% of this demographic were not married.   In less than 20 years the proportion of never married Americans has risen from 21% to 35%. 
 
         A Pew Research study report projects that if these trends continue, 1 in 4 of today’s young adults may never marry.    Young people are waiting to get married today.  In 1970 the average young person married in their early 20’s, today they are marrying close to the age of 30.   Additionally, more young people are forgoing marriage for cohabitation. The vast majority of couples living together never make it to the altar, and for those who do, their divorce rates are dramatically higher than those who do not live together before marriage. 
 
         Something else that has changed over the years is that today, lower income individuals are less likely to marry than those in higher income brackets.   In years past there was no marriage rate income gap. 
 
         Marriage provides more economic and family stability and even physical safety, for those who are married and any children they produce than those who live together.   While children can do well in various situations, statistically, children raised in a family with a married mother and father are much less likely to be poor, more likely to do well in school and less likely to be involved in crime (particularly boys) than those raised in other living arrangements. 
 
 

The Civic Fallout of Marital Decline
 
         In the item above, I point out the decline of marriage and the societal problems this can create.   There is another problem or at least a distinction between those who marry and those who do not, particularly among the young.   Those who are married, whether they have children or not, are much more likely to vote in an election than those who are not married or were formerly married. In the 2018 congressional elections, 56% of married adults reported voting, in contrast to just 37% of adults who had never married.
 
         As seen in this chart, marriage appears to have several civic benefits that are important to our self-governing republic. 
 

  
 

Does Your Church Need Voter Guides?
 
         My colleague and friend, Eric Miller, director of Advance America has cut a video regarding their online and paper voter guide.  If you would like to order paper voter guides for your church, you can call them at 317-684-3300.  To watch the video or to download an online voter guide, click here (www.advanceamerica.com ) or click on the video below.
 
 
 
 

In their Own Words:
 
         “Religious liberty might be supposed to mean that everybody is free to discuss religion. In practice it means that hardly anybody is allowed to mention it.”  – G.K. Chesterton
   
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believe the polls?

catholicvote
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Dear Jerald,

People ask me every day:

“Do you believe the polls?”

“Can he win?”

The last question is easiest to answer. Of course, Trump can win. Voter sentiment today is impossible to predict with real accuracy. Pollsters broadly show Joe Biden with almost the exact same advantage held by Hillary Clinton at this point in 2016. And we know how that turned out.

But there’s more. Here’s our case as of today for Trump winning:

TRUST THE POLLS?

Every poll includes certain assumptions about respondents’ honesty, candidate preference, likelihood of voting, and actual turnout. Polls taken in 2016 were notoriously wrong. But many forget that two years later “new and improved” polls were again error-ridden, especially in key states.

For example, polls in FL on the eve of the election in 2018 showed Democrat Andrew Gillum up between 5-7 percent. He lost by approximately .5%, a 5-8 percentage point swing. Or the FOX News poll on the Indiana Senate race predicted Democrat Joe Donnelly would win by 7%. Republican Mike Braun won instead by almost 6% — an almost 13% point swing!

ENTHUSIASM GAP

From rallies, to boat parades, to surveys, the evidence is clear: President Trump has a 2-1 advantage when it comes to voter enthusiasm. By an overwhelming margin Trump voters are excited to reelect the President. Conversely, Biden supporters are more anti-Trump, but far less excited about their candidate.

TURNOUT SURGE

A recent strategy memo from a major election consulting group reported that a mere 2-point increase in voter turnout among non-college-educated white voters could turn a modest Biden victory into a commanding win by President Trump. Just 2%. Polls are forecasts. This election will be decided by who turns out to vote.

Finally, here are a few things happening over the next few weeks that will likely work in President Trump’s favor…

    • We’re likely to see the confirmation of Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court. Confirming solid jurists to the federal bench, especially the Supreme Court, is a winning issue for Republicans — and a demoralizing one for Democrats. After all, Republicans picked up two senate seats in the so-called “blue wave” of 2018, immediately after the confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh.


  • We’re also expecting further evidence of the historic economic rebound as third quarter economic reports are released in the coming weeks. Americans have credited Trump for the economy throughout his first term, even with the shutdown. And it remains his #1 issue.

  • President Trump is now campaigning with gusto at rallies. In fact, he is expected to travel every day between now and the election. See enthusiasm gap above.

  • Despite Democratic efforts to continue to stoke fear, concern about the coronavirus pandemic continues to decline. Even the New York Times admitted that President Trump’s “Operation Warp Speed” is fast-tracking vaccines and therapeutics, with hospitalizations and deaths at their lowest levels of the year. America is beating the virus.

Finally, perhaps the most obvious evidence this race isn’t over and that Biden isn’t up by 10 points? Why would Nancy Pelosi make a big push for legislation to set up a commission to remove President Trump from office out of health concerns if she thought he would lose big in three weeks?

The media was absolutely gobsmacked on election night when Donald Trump shocked the world in 2016.

Wouldn’t you love to see that again?

We sure would.

Chip in here to help us keep it going.

Brian

P.S. What else are Pelosi and the Democrats up to? They are now competing hard in Nebraska, one of only two states that split their electoral votes. Eastern Nebraska includes Omaha, and that one electoral vote could make the difference in the electoral college. Obama-Biden won this electoral vote in 2008 and the latest polling shows the district to be a tossup.

The good news: CV just hired a full time person in Nebraska to help us build a team to make direct contact with nearly 60,000 key Catholic voters in Omaha.

AFA-IN: The Religious Smears Begin, Sex & Health

Religious Bigotry, Here it Comes

The Democrat media, the far left, or whatever you want to call them are so wrapped around the axles by their agenda they just can’t help themselves.  They cannot hide their religious bigotry when it comes to the idea of a devout Catholic on the Supreme Court.

They have no problem with Catholics like Nancy Pelosi or Joe Biden who support abortion up to birth and oppose religious freedom. (It was the Obama/Biden administration that attempted to punish, if not close, the Little Sisters of the Poor and Hobby Lobby’s owners through abortion mandates in Obamacare.)  Yet, when it comes to one who follows the faith with any seriousness, that must be questioned and portrayed as extreme.

Now an Indiana news article that may well go national, questions Hoosier Judge Amy Coney Barrett for having lived in a house owned by a ministry called People of Praise.  The undertones of the story seem to want to make people fearful of her religious beliefs as something that makes women subservient to theological beliefs.

People of Praise is simply an Indiana based, multi-faith, charismatic religious organization that works across denominations to help the poor and needy.  For example, the Evansville chapter has taken dozens of empty lots and planted gardens for the area poor. People of Praise has also helped create private schools for low income families.

People of Praise is a Pentecostal entity which believes in the Bible’s teachings on gifts of the spirit.  Personally, I am neither Pentecostal nor Catholic, but some of my closest, most beloved, Christian friends fall into those camps. Neither are out of the religious mainstream.   I respect People of Praise and viscerally recoil at attacks against this Christian community.  Such smears, directly or subtly, are abhorrent and un-American.   There is nothing sinister about People of Praise or Judge Barret’s support of them at all.

So, this is where we are. Brace yourself.  In a nation that claims to support tolerance, we are headed toward a very intolerant confirmation debate over Judge Barrett and her faith.

Forgetting the Command to Not Be Conformed to the World

Some people have asked me what shaped my conservative worldview.  One of the things that formed it was my time in college.  I attended a Southern Baptist university in Missouri.  Before you assume that it was the school’s worldview, it wasn’t.  In some ways it was just the opposite.  I saw and heard things expressed that conflicted with the school’s principles which made me examine my own worldview.    Certainly, I benefited greatly from Biblical teachings, but I also had to stand for what I believed was right as liberal ideas crept into many classes, and to a greater degree, among students raised in the church.

So, I guess I am not surprised to hear of another Christian university that appears to have conformed to the views of the culture.  But what is shocking is the specific ministry that this school opposed.  It is a group that uniquely defends Christianity in an insightful way that our culture can hear.

Think about how Satan can desensitize people and compromise values through humor, whether it be TV sitcoms or shows that are funny, but advance lifestyles or agendas that conflict with a Christian worldview.   If you recognize this, then you probably understand what The Babylon Bee does so well by making people think, through humor and satire.

Palm Beach Atlantic University has disinvited Seth Dillon, CEO of the Bee from speaking at their chapel service even though Seth is an alumnus of the college.

Apparently, several students were upset that the Babylon Bee has exposed Black Lives Matter as a radical Marxist organization and has shown the LGBT agenda to be intolerant of Christian beliefs.

Seth, naturally, had some direct words for this.  “Cancel culture has come for me . . . I’m just too dangerous and divisive to be permitted to speak on the campus of my alma mater,” Dillon said.  “Since when do you have to support terrorist organizations that use violence and intimidation to advance their agenda to be welcome on a Christian campus?

Dillon’s appearance was meant to be a series of lighthearted questions about his experience as an alumnus and a Christian media interpreter with questions like “Who was your favorite professor?”

Well, There Ya Have It.   Now How Do I say this?

Some interesting research caught my attention in part because of a talk I plan on giving this Sunday and in part because of the headline: More Sex Less Death.

The research finds that people who are sexually active throughout the year tend to live longer than those who are not.   As you might imagine, this finding could be taken in a lot of ways or used to justify things that are not emotionally or physically healthy.   The researchers make a good point that the study does not embrace swinging singles.  It also notes that a bad marriage often has negative health implications.  It simply recognizes that those who are married are the most sexually active and typically have the most committed and highest quality of relationships which have been shown to have various health benefits and lower mortality rates.

Sexual activity may simply be a side component of marriage which in and of itself aids in boosting the health of adults.  For example, married men tend to go to the doctor for regular check-ups more than single men. Perhaps because of their wife’s encouragement.

If anything at all, this is more research showing that God’s plan for sexual activity within marriage is beneficial to his human creation.   If you’d like to read this interesting report with its caveats, it can be found here: https://ifstudies.org/blog/more-sex-less-death

In Their Own Words:

“If a nation values anything more than freedom, it will lose its freedom; and the irony of it is that if it is comfort or money that it values more, it will lose that, too.”  – Somerset Maugham

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Letter by Dr. James Dobson

Dr. Dobson’s Open Letter to All Christians Regarding the Upcoming Election
Dear Friends,
This will be my final letter to 800,000 people before Americans cast our ballots on November 3rd. It is a breathtaking moment in the history of the United States. Perhaps I will be permitted to repeat a brief comment I made in my August letter because of its relevance to today. Many political commentators have stated that this election is the most significant since 1864, when Abraham Lincoln vied for a second term against Democratic nominee, George McClellan. The future of our beloved nation hung in the balance that year. If Lincoln had lost, the Civil War would have ended precipitously and the wretched evils of slavery would have remained legal in the Confederate States, and perhaps even in the North. Had Lincoln been defeated, the Union would have been torn asunder. Thank God Mr. Lincoln won, even though it cost him his life!
Now we are approaching another presidential election that carries enormous implications for the stability of our democratic system of government. Indeed, Newt Gingrich said that what we are facing now might bring an end to civilization as we have known it. He may have been referring to a possible revolution. Regardless, I believe his grave concern for our nation is valid. For centuries, America has stood as a shining light for liberty and freedom in our nation and around the globe. If we abandon our founding core values, the world will suffer for it. The binary choice before us is that stark.
How will Americans, and how will you, decide who to vote for as our Chief Executive Officer? I have heard from dozens of friends and acquaintances in recent weeks who tell me they will base their decision solely on a candidate’s rhetoric, tone, style, or likeability. Does that describe your thinking process?
Just now, as I was about to react to that idea, my wife, Shirley, brought in an email that she had received a few minutes before from a friend. It quoted an anonymous statement that gets to the heart of the issue, as follows:
“This is not a junior high or high school popularity/personality contest. I’m not voting for the person—I’m voting for the platform!
I’m voting for the Second Amendment. I’m voting for the next Supreme Court justice. I’m voting for the electoral college. I’m voting for the Republic in which we live. I’m voting for the police and law and order. I’m voting for the military and the veterans who fought and died for this country. I’m voting for the flag that is often missing from public events. I’m voting for the right to speak my opinion and not be censored for it. I’m voting for secure borders. I’m voting for the right to praise God without fear. I’m voting for every unborn soul that is at risk of being aborted. I’m voting for freedom and the American dream. I’m voting for good and against evil. I’m not just voting for one person.
I’m voting for the future of my country!”
I couldn’t have said it better, although I want to add to the writer’s list. I’m also voting for candidates who will exercise sound leadership internationally. I’m voting for those who will support Israel. I’m voting for those who will protect children from leftist curricula. I’m voting for the nation’s fiscal integrity. I’m voting for parental rights. I’m voting for school choice and home education. I’m voting for freedom in the suburbs. I’m voting for Little Sisters of the Poor and other Christian organizations. I’m voting for racial unity. I am voting to support “In God we trust” and school prayer. I’m voting for freedom of conscience for physicians and other professionals. I am voting for marriage. I am voting for life in all its dimensions. I am voting against euthanasia and physician-assisted suicide. I’m voting for wisdom in handling the pandemic. I am voting for protection for the Church from oppressive politicians.
One final thought: With all respect, this election isn’t about you. It certainly isn’t about me. It is about our kids and grandkids. It is about those who are yet to come, if they are allowed to live. This vote has awesome implications for future generations and the nation we love. It is about our Constitution and the immutable, God-given rights it protects. It is about values, and truth, and greatness, and hope. That is why the notion of choosing a president based on frivolous personality characteristics is so unfortunate.
In summary, this election is for all the marbles . . . the Presidency, the House of Representatives, the Senate, and the Supreme Court. Together, they set the agenda for this country.
If you love America and don’t want it to be “fundamentally transformed,” it is time to do three things:
1. Pray like never before that God will spare this great nation from tyranny and oppression of religious liberty.
2. Volunteer to help your candidates.
3. Vote for the candidates who will best uphold your values and convictions.
Also, consider forwarding this letter to your friends, family, and others whom you might influence.
May God bless America!
Dr. James Dobson

AFA-IN: Resources for Informed Voting, Barton Event


Cast an Informed Ballot – Resources for Voters
 
         As you know, Election Day is now just 41 days away.   The importance of elections was dramatically displayed with the passing of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg late last week.   It is vitally important that your vote matches your values as much as possible. 
 
         For this reason, there are several voter resources from various groups that tend to look at traditional values issues.  Obviously, if there are issues of major importance to you, many groups have these kinds of issue-based guides.  For example, gun groups have guides on 2nd Amendment or crime issues, farming organizations have guides on farming and environment issues, business groups have guides on tax and economic issues etc.        
 
         For values voters, here are a few that I would recommend as starting points:
 
         • ivoterguide.com is a comprehensive voter guide for state and federal races.  This is an excellent guide for Hoosiers.  It is now active for Indiana.  If you have family or friends in other states, they can check this address too and see if their state surveys are completed. 
 
         • AdvanceAmerica.com has been doing Indiana voter guides for decades.  These guides are usually available online, but they are known for their paper guide that hundreds of churches across the state have used as bulletin inserts.   Right now, you can order these guides for your church, or a large gathering, at the top of their web site.  
 
         • IRTL.org is the web site for Indiana Right to Life.  At the top of their page is a drop-down menu header titled “Take Action – Stay Informed.”  In this menu is the option “Voter Education Resources.”  This is where you can soon find a voter guide on life issues.   You can also see how currently elected officials have voted on life issues in the Indiana Statehouse. 
 
         • FRCAction.org also has a “voting resources” drop down menu link on the top right of their page.  It has voting guides, party platform comparisons and several other voting education resources, including their well-known congressional score cards they too have published for decades.  These resources are applicable for voters all across the US. 
 
         • Catholicvote.org is an interesting site designed to educate Catholic voters.  They have a downloadable and printable one-page presidential voter guide.  One interesting tidbit from their site states: “The winner of the Catholic vote has won every presidential election since 1976, with the exception of one. In 2016, Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton among Catholics 52-45. In 2018, Catholics were very narrowly divided, with 50% backing Democrats and 49% supporting Republicans.”  
 
 
         

AFA-IN’s Live Wallbuilders’ Event
 
         Our FREE Online Event with David Barton’s Wallbuilders is less than two weeks away.  This LIVE Online Event from the Wallbuilders’ museum is Tuesday evening, October 6th at 7 pm EDT.   The broadcast will feature Tim Barton and will include a time for Q&A.   The topic of his talk is “Truth, Statues and Imperfect People.”
 
         Information on this Online Event can be viewed on our website at https://www.afain.net/barton.  We will be taking your questions today thru the event with Tim answering select questions after his presentation.  While this is a free event, we are asking for your help financially as we look to expand our online presence in the 4th Quarter of 2020 and into 2021.  We would like to bring more of these type of events to you on a regular basis and need your help as we build a secure infrastructure, free from the social media Censorship. 
 
         Please Mark Your Calendars for Tuesday October 6th at 7 pm EDT for this great online event!


 
In Their Own Words:
 
         Frankly, I had thought that at the time Roe was decided, there was concern about population growth and particularly growth in populations that we don’t want to have too many of.”  – Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg, July 2009, New York Times Magazine interview in which she responds to a question about abortion access becoming limited in some states and a lack of abortion funding for poor women, invoking echoes of racial eugenicist Margaret Sanger 
 
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AFAIN: Shock Poll Govs Race a Toss-Up? Clueless Christians


Political Earthquake in Indiana
 
         There is a new poll out that surely must have rocked Indiana’s political insiders.  The poll is from Indy Politics/Change Research.    
 
          The Sept 3-7th statewide poll has a respectable sample of over 1,033 likely Hoosier voters.  This is consistent with that same entity’s poll in mid-April showing Governor Eric Holcomb with a huge 20-point lead (45%-25%-8%).   That was at the front end of the Corona virus crisis.  Things have changed dramatically
 
           The new poll finds that the Governor’s lead has collapsed to:
 
             Eric Holcomb (R)  36%
             Dr. Woody Myers (D) 30%
             Donald Rainwater (L) 24%
             Undecided 10%
 
            That an incumbent Republican Governor could poll below 40% this close to the election, with a relatively unknown Democrat opponent, no major scandals, and the mainstream media almost never criticizing him, is beyond shocking.  
 
             However, the Governor has taken the conservative base of his party for granted since day one of his administration.  (I have a mental image of his advisors telling him that our concerns don’t matter, avoid controversy, he doesn’t need us, where else can we go on election day?)
 
             Many people have told me that they intend to skip the Governor’s race when they vote.  The issues he advocates mean little to them, and the issues they care about are seldom mentioned by him.  Also, the Covid crisis could be wearing thin with Hoosiers who are frustrated with mask mandates and an economic downturn.  Whatever the reasons, I am still surprised by these polling numbers.    
 
              The Governor has a mountain of campaign money and while the Libertarian is cutting into his base through some conservative issues, Donald Rainwater also has the baggage of that party with his support of recreational marijuana, euthanasia, and allowing alcohol and tobacco sales at age 18. Holcomb will also have the Trump lead in Indiana that should tend to help his governor’s race. Additionally, the Democrat has an oddly low amount of financial support from his party. Many core groups like the teachers’ unions, that tend to energize Hoosier Democrats, are not very committed to the race. (Could that commitment change if the Dems now think Dr. Myers could win?
 
              Nevertheless, this race appears much closer than many people would have ever guessed just a few weeks ago. 
 
 

The Race for Attorney General
 
         This same poll found that former Congressman Todd Rokita (R) is leading former Evansville Mayor Jonathan Weinzapfel (49-34%) with few people knowing Weinzapfel in the race for Attorney General.
 
         When asked about Black Lives Matter, 56% of Hoosiers disapprove of the Marxist organization.  Moreover, 71% of Hoosiers support their local police
 
 

Christians Who Place Culture Above the Bible
 
          A new study from Lifeway Research has found that 22%, or 1-in-5, of U.S. Evangelicals appear to reject the Bible’s teaching that the gender of a person as male or female is given by God (Mark 10:6, Genesis 5:2) and instead believe in “gender fluidity.”
 
         Attending religious service matters.  The study found that Americans who attend a service at least once or twice a month are more likely to disagree with the pop-culture view that gender identity is a choice. 
 
         Last week, a survey by the Pew Research Center found that half of Christians say sex between consenting adults who are in a committed dating relationship is sometimes or always acceptable.  (That is not what the Bible teaches.)
 


We Fought the Good Fight of Faith and Freedom
 
         I am disappointed to report that our long court battle over several city “human rights” ordinances and the “RFRA fix” has ended before it ever really got off the ground.   We battled for several years over the ability to even be heard.   
 
         Our original judge gave us standing for our case.  Had he not retired, we would surely have had a case based on our concerns regarding these government policies undermining religious freedom as recognized in numerous federal cases as well as Article 1 Sec 3 of the Indiana Constitution.  (“No law shall, in any case whatever, control the free exercise and enjoyment of religious opinions, or interfere with the rights of conscience.”)  We believe that a city ordinance punishing a group or ministry for its beliefs on marriage violates these cases and principles.  
 
         However, in the middle of our case our judge changed.  The new judge sided with the cities claim that we had no right to be heard, or lacked standing, because we had not been punished by the cities.  We argued that these policies have a chilling effect on our speech or actions in those cities. 
 
         That is basically how the case ended last week.  We never got to significantly debate these policies in light of several rulings across the nation, (like Masterpiece Cake Shop in CO), that helped our claims.   Still, we feel that we put the cities on notice with our effort.  Should an Indiana city target people of faith for their views on marriage or human sexuality, we are potentially ready to return to court.  

         I want to thank our co-plaintiff the Indiana Family Institute and the outstanding legal team at The Bopp Law Firm.  It was an honor to stand with them. 
 
 
Another Victim of Covid . . . Family Stability
 
         There have been a few studies and reports looking at the social costs of the Covid-19 crisis and secondary effects of shutdowns.   They have found things like increases in alcohol use, anxiety, mental illness, and even increased suicides and domestic violence.   These more serious problems are likely a combination of pandemic stress and economic struggles such as unemployment.
 
         A report appearing in the UK Mail Online finds that during the first three months after most states in the US locked down, (March-June) marriages also took a hit.  There was a 34% increase in divorce filings compared to the same timeframe in 2019.  
 
          “This uptick could coincide with what health and human services professionals refer to as the ‘disillusionment phase’ of the Phases of Disaster– the time when optimism turns to discouragement, stress heightens, and negative reactions often occur,” according to the group Legal Templates, which collected the data.
 
            They speculate that this kind of stressor may be why 20% of those who sought divorce had only been married five months or less.  They may have been less able to weather the storm than more established couples. 
 
 

In Their Own Words
 
         “I’m always speaking out against these people, especially LeBron James.  I mean, this is a man that lives in a forty-million-dollar mansion in Bel Aire . . . He’s got a white gardener, a white chef, various white people that work for him. A white driver. . . So, if that’s systemic racism, LeBron, please share some of that with the rest of us.”   – Conservative black activist, Candace Owens
 
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Stealing TRUMP signs

I had my Trump sign stolen/vandalized about 1 week ago, plus, below is more from a friend of mine.  Jerry

——————————————–

What an amazing thing this Sunday afternoon. A guy from New Palestine, IN – east on US52 stopped by this afternoon with 2 new Trump signs. He works in INDY and commutes daily on Brookville Road. Noticed the ‘original’ signs were gone and that my TRUMP SIGNS STOLEN (TSS) sign was gone. What a ‘gift’ and to meet a fine fella – Chris Wernimont. I’ll not put one out tomorrow to show commuter folks that my TSS sign is gone and I’ll put one of the new signs out beginning Tues morn and bring in each evening unless stolen again during the day. He has connections with Republican Sheriff in neighboring Hancock county and they seem to be more available there.

WE SHALL OVERCOME!! Blessings